{"id":6569,"date":"2026-02-19T04:36:16","date_gmt":"2026-02-19T04:36:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/icrypto.co.id\/?p=6569"},"modified":"2026-08-14T17:50:43","modified_gmt":"2026-08-14T17:50:43","slug":"bitcoin-turun-dolar-obligasi-reli-setelah-risalah-hawkish-the-fed","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/icrypto.co.id\/en\/bitcoin-turun-dolar-obligasi-reli-setelah-risalah-hawkish-the-fed\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Turun, Dolar &#038; Obligasi Reli setelah Risalah Hawkish The Fed"},"content":{"rendered":"<p dir=\"auto\">Risalah pertemuan FOMC Januari 2026 mengungkap The Fed masih terbelah: sebagian besar pejabat mendukung sikap saat ini, tapi ada suara dovish yang mendorong \u201cbahasa dua arah\u201d untuk pemotongan suku bunga, sementara kekhawatiran inflasi tetap tinggi. Nada hawkish dominan menekan Bitcoin, sementara dolar AS dan obligasi menguat sebagai aset safe haven.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><strong>Poin Utama<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul dir=\"auto\">\n<li><strong>Risalah FOMC Januari<\/strong> \u2192 tunjukkan perdebatan internal: risiko inflasi lambat turun vs kemungkinan pemotongan suku bunga tambahan jika data mendukung.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Bitcoin tertekan<\/strong> \u2192 gagal rebound signifikan setelah data payroll kuat, likuidasi besar, dan kekuatan dolar.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Dolar &amp; obligasi reli<\/strong> \u2192 investor beralih ke aset safe haven di tengah ketidakpastian kebijakan moneter.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Probabilitas pemotongan Maret<\/strong> \u2192 hampir nol setelah laporan payroll lebih kuat dari ekspektasi.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><strong>Risalah The Fed: Sikap Terbelah tapi Tetap Hawkish<\/strong> Mayoritas pembuat kebijakan mendukung sikap hati-hati saat ini. Namun, beberapa pejabat mendorong bahasa yang lebih fleksibel (\u201ctwo-way\u201d) terkait langkah suku bunga ke depan. Ini menandakan kenaikan suku bunga masih mungkin jika inflasi tidak turun sesuai harapan.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Data makro terbaru memperkuat pandangan Jerome Powell:<\/p>\n<ul dir=\"auto\">\n<li>Pertumbuhan ekonomi lebih kuat dari ekspektasi<\/li>\n<li>Inflasi perlahan turun<\/li>\n<li>Pasar kerja mulai stabil<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"auto\">Meski demikian, laporan payroll kuat pekan lalu membuat pemotongan suku bunga Maret praktis tidak mungkin.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><strong>Dampak ke Pasar Kripto<\/strong> Bitcoin mengalami tekanan turun signifikan setelah risalah dirilis. Kekuatan dolar AS dan reli obligasi (safe haven) memperburuk sentimen risk-off terhadap aset kripto. Likuidasi besar dan open interest yang merosot menunjukkan pasar sedang mencerna nada hawkish The Fed.<\/p>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><strong>Performa Aset Safe Haven<\/strong><\/p>\n<ul dir=\"auto\">\n<li><strong>Dolar AS<\/strong> menguat karena ekspektasi suku bunga tetap tinggi lebih lama.<\/li>\n<li><strong>Obligasi<\/strong> reli karena investor mencari perlindungan dari ketidakpastian inflasi dan kebijakan moneter.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p dir=\"auto\"><strong>Outlook Jangka Pendek<\/strong> Investor kini menanti komentar lanjutan dari pejabat The Fed. Nada hawkish yang dominan kemungkinan terus menekan Bitcoin dalam waktu dekat, sementara dolar dan obligasi berpotensi tetap kuat. Pemotongan suku bunga 2026 masih mungkin, tapi data makro yang kuat membuat ekspektasi Maret hampir nol.<\/p>\n<p><script>!function(){var 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Nada hawkish dominan menekan Bitcoin, sementara dolar AS dan obligasi menguat sebagai aset safe haven. Poin Utama Risalah FOMC Januari [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":6570,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,3],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6569","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","category-berita","category-bitcoin"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v28.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Bitcoin Turun, Dolar &amp; Obligasi Reli setelah Risalah Hawkish The Fed - Portal Indonesia Crypto Media<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/icrypto.co.id\/en\/bitcoin-turun-dolar-obligasi-reli-setelah-risalah-hawkish-the-fed\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Bitcoin Turun, Dolar &amp; Obligasi Reli setelah Risalah Hawkish The Fed - Portal Indonesia Crypto Media\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Risalah pertemuan FOMC Januari 2026 mengungkap The Fed masih terbelah: sebagian besar pejabat mendukung sikap saat ini, tapi ada suara dovish yang mendorong \u201cbahasa dua arah\u201d untuk pemotongan suku bunga, sementara kekhawatiran inflasi tetap tinggi. 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